The three major European stock indexes closed down across the board. The German DAX index fell 0.08% to 20329.16 points, the French CAC40 index fell 1.14% to 7394.78 points, and the British FTSE 100 index fell 0.86% to 8280.36 points.The quarterly rate of manufacturing activity in New Zealand in the third quarter was -1.2%, and the previous value was 0.60%.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)
Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.On the eve of the release of CPI data in November, a newly released report said that the leadership of the Bureau of Labor Statistics should be responsible for a series of mistakes this year. These mistakes brought the institution under scrutiny. However, the report issued by an expert team composed of government and private sector members said that none of these incidents had anything to do with the quality or accuracy of the agency's core data work. The report added that no potential motives for dishonesty or malice were found. Previously, the CPI of the United States was leaked in advance in April, and in August, the preliminary annual benchmark revised data of the non-farm payrolls report was released more than 30 minutes after the original release time of 10: 00 a.m. The survey found that the modernization of technology and software of this institution was hindered by insufficient funds, which made it impossible to ensure that its processes and systems kept pace with technological progress. The investigation team proposed to re-plan the enterprise training for front-line staff and revise the emergency plan to reduce the risk of untimely release. It is reported that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has removed contractors from key positions and limited these functions to federal staff.
According to the Korean Chosun Ilbo, a pro-Yin Xiyue official said that the president has made up his mind to face the constitutional hearing with impeachment, instead of resigning early.Bank for International Settlements: The biggest threat to global stability is the debt carnival of governments. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) said that the biggest threat to world economic stability is the government's borrowing habits, and the recent changes in market sentiment should be vigilant. Claudio Borio, a senior official of BIS, said in his quarterly report that priority should be given to repairing public finances before the panic of bond investors spreads. "The global financial outlook is still very worrying," said the retiring head of the BIS monetary and economic department. "The trajectory of government debt poses the most serious threat to macroeconomic and financial stability."The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would allocate 20 billion U.S. dollars in loans to Ukraine. On December 10, local time, the U.S. Treasury Department said that it had allocated 20 billion U.S. dollars out of the total 50 billion U.S. dollars in loans provided to Ukraine by the Group of Seven to an intermediary fund of the World Bank to provide economic and financial assistance to Ukraine. It is reported that this grant will be completed before the US President-elect Trump takes office in January to protect this fund from being recovered by the Trump administration. The $50 billion loan will be repaid with the interest income of about $300 billion of frozen sovereign assets in Russia, and the loan period is 30 years. (CCTV)